Best Motion Picture
Avatar
District 9
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
Precious
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the Air
I dropped Nine and Julia and Julie and replaced them with An Education and Invictus. Nine crashed and burned upon opening and Julia and Julie, which was once a sure thing got lost in the shuffle, I think. I predict now that The Hurt Locker will win picture because Up in the Air peaked too soon and The Hurt Locker hasn’t even peaked.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie and Julia
I dropped Emily Blunt who was always questionable. After Bullocks win at the SAG and Golden Globes, her nom seems certain and will probably win now over Meryl Streep.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
I added Renner as the fifth. Bridges is expected to win.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Marion Cotillard, Nine
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo'Nique, Precious
Julianne Moore, A Single Man
I have no changes here, but I’m uncertain about Marion Cotillard, but not sure who would get in if she doesn’t make it.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Pictur
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Alfred Molina, An Education
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
I have sorrowfully removed Christian McKay for Me and Orson Welles and put in Matt Damon for Invictus. Christoph Waltz is suppose to walk away with it.
Best Animated Feature Film
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs
The Princess and the Frog
Up
No changes here.
Best Director - Motion Picture
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Lee Daniels, Precious
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
No changes here, but I think Cameron may win director.
Best Screenplay - Motion Picture - Original
Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber, 500 days of summer
Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Pete Docter, Bob Petersen, Thomas McCarthy, Up; Alessandro Camon, Oren Moverman, The Messenger
Joel and Ethan Coen, A Serious Man
I had In the Loop in the wrong category. So now I have to add another and am not sure what to add, but decided to go for the Messenger.
Best Screenplay - Motion Picture – Adapted
Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell, District 9
Nick Hornby, An Education
Harold P. Manning, Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Ian Martin, Tony
Roche, In the Loop
Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious
Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air
I’ve added In the Loop to this list.
AVATAR is the one to beat for best picture. The only other ones I've heard even discussed are Up In The Air and Hurt Locker. Avatar wins because it's just so effin overwhelming.
ReplyDeleteYou could be right. It was the surprise winner at the Golden Globes. But The Hurt Locker picked up the DGA and PGA awards. It will be an interesting fight--ex-wife versus ex-husband.
ReplyDeleteI found Hurt Locker very difficult to relate to. Unlikeable protagonist. Also, the Hurt Locker is timely,but Avatar is both timely and timeless. I have a lot of friends who dis Avatar for lacking a story, but there was quite a good story there, even if it's substantially been done before. I just think the Academy will pick Avatar because recognition of sci fi as a serious film genre is LONG overdue, and this is the perfect chance for them to play catchup. (They may not care of people think they're snobs,but people thinking they're out of step is something else altogether.) The other thing is Avatar will clean up in all the technical categories, and that stuff counts in the assessment of "best picture." No acting noms, but so what? LOTR didn't have any, either.
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